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The Linux Foundation announced April 8 that the annual sponsorship of an independent IDC predictions of how the Linux ecosystem will grow over time. The answer is “many”, but exactly what is expected in relation to the ecosystem of UNIX. Usually if Linux / UNIX using growth / decline, following the view of IDC’s quarterly server shipments. The clear trend that the prospect is that factory shipments of Linux servers is growing, in principle, at the rate of factory shipments of Unix servers decreases. Place the open source blogosphere rabid foaming at the mouth for saying this, but Linux is basically the latest version of UNIX. So market researchers expect that the two operating systems to move in this way. From a market perspective to look at the Linux ecosystem to separate from the UNIX ecosystem would be like watching the growth of Windows for 15 years without seeing the decline of the DOS. Bascially, you can choose the IBM and HP versions of Linux and other factory shipments if it is used to choose AIX, HP / UX and so on. In addition, major server vendors with Linux providers like Red Hat, Canonical and so for track additions.

This is the relatively low margin business service main systems used for themselves. The IDC report published in April 8, waits in the same trend from a different perspective. By the way, and not coincidentally, the Linux Foundation is funded by sponsors of platinum, Fujitsu, Hitachi, HP, IBM, Intel, NEC, Novell and Oracle, together with dozens of gold, silver sponsors and members. Instead of measuring the choice of servers, the IDC study forecasts the Linux-related spending for software. ” The forecast says that the Linux software revenues will grow to 12 million U.S. dollars in connection 35 billion U.S. dollars between 2008 and 2013, while “spending Unix” is almost flat (from € 69 billion to 74 billion dollars). This statistic estimates not only of Linux and other open source software (eg Solaris) revenues flowing into the market, but revenue from license fees, maintenance and subscriptions related application server, ESB, databases, ERP, BI, and even consumer software runs on the operating systems.

Note that many of the software subject to the open source conditions (T & Cs). Linux as an example, an Oracle database and SAP R / 3 running on a Linux server, consider the costs associated with software in this case. The IDC report also has interesting information about cloud computing, virtualization and the market of the current economic slowdown. It is freely available on the website of the Linux Foundation. I wrote a piece about IDC research fellow sponsored by Novell here. By comparison, “Windows” in terms of income, according to the same IDC white paper will grow from $ 149 million to 206 billion dollars in the same period. That is, both ecosystems grow at the same rate of annual growth of 6 percent to 7 percent. That is, as expected, because both ecosystems rapidly becoming dominant in the two options you have in the market. Unix is the trend for a few years, Linux and other open source software is based on replacing the system based on software, while Windows is a software based on the displacement of less OS/400 systems and similar IT-staff intensive. As always, be careful of statistics. These statistics do not tell the whole story and options market. For example, like many of the software in the ecosystem of the open source operating system began with the traditional Ts and Cs (the Oracle / SAP example above), much of the software revenue measure in the Windows ecosystem distributed with open source and I “Cs. These include JBoss and MySQL running on Windows